Monday's April 9 FBI raids on Michael Cohen’s office, home and hotel room are the
clearest sign yet that the president’s longtime attorney is in serious
legal jeopardy. They also represent yet another threatening development
facing Donald Trump after more than a year of investigations into his
campaign and presidency—perhaps the most direct danger yet.
No wonder he’s lashing out wildly—calling the raids “a disgraceful situation” and, absurdly, “an attack on our country.”
The evidence sought by investigators reportedly relates to bank
fraud and campaign finance violations, both of which primarily point to
one thing. Cohen apparently used a home equity credit line to borrow the
$130,000 he paid Stormy Daniels for her silence just weeks before the
2016 election.
If Cohen lied to obtain credit from a federally insured
financial institution, that is a
felony
punishable by up to 30 years’ imprisonment. And because the payment was
likely an in-kind contribution to the Trump campaign, it could
constitute a willful violation of campaign contribution limits, a
separate felony punishable by up to five years’ imprisonment.
That the investigation of Cohen was apparently referred by special
counsel Robert Mueller to the United States Attorney for the Southern
District of New York—a Trump appointee—is an early indication that at
this point, the matter is not directly related to the Russia
investigation.
But that doesn’t mean Trump’s exposure is any less
serious. Cohen knows where the LLCs are hidden. He’s been at the center
of Trump’s financial universe for decades. If he is as exposed as he
seems on the Daniels payment, one wonders what information he might be
able to offer prosecutors—including Mueller—in exchange for a deal.
Read more: The FBI Raids on Trump’s Attorney Are Bad News for Trump - POLITICO Magazine