Geo-political Forecast August through December 2008
1. A Dollar in distress (EUR 1 = USD 1.75 at the end of 2008): Panic-fear of a US currency and economy collapse eats into the American collective psyche 2. Global financial system: An impossible requirement – placing Washington under international trusteeship – provokes the system's break 3. European Union: The periphery sinks into the recession, the Eurozone only slows down 4. Asia: The « double whammy » inflation/export-collapse 5. Latin America: Difficulties increase but growth remains steady in most parts of the region, Mexico and Argentina in crisis 6. Arab world: Pro-Western regimes go adrift / 60 percent risk of socio-political explosion on Egypt-Morocco axis 7. Iran: 70 percent probability of an attack by October 2008 confirmed
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