The EU Refugee problem: The George W. Bush refugees - and the mess -- including populism - the U.S. played such a large part in creating

George W.Bush "the mission is over" - who was he kidding?

On September 18, 2015 Andrew Bacevich wrote in Politico something which not only the US Government, but also its European NATO partners have never openly admitted.

"As migrants have poured into Europe, Americans must bear the blame".

"if you break it you own it.” Colin Powell’s Pottery Barn Rule, warning George W. Bush of the consequences of invading Iraq.

Bush broke it — “it” being a swath of the greater Middle East. But the U.S. and their European NATO partners, the so-called "coalition of the willing" adamantly refused to accept anything like ownership of the consequences stemming from Bush’s recklessly misguided act.

Not least among those consequences is the crisis that finds refugees fleeing Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and other parts of the Islamic world in search of asylum in the West. The European nations most directly affected have greeted this wave with more hostility than hospitality — Germany, for a time, at least offering a notable exception.

For its part, the U.S. has responded with pronounced indifference and silence. In a gesture of undisguised tokenism, the Obama administration announced it would admit a grand total of 10,000 Syrians — one-eightieth the number that Germany has agreed to accept in one year alone. Obviously the situation is now even more grim for refugees wanting to come to America, with Trump's "Make America Great Again" anti-immigration policies.

No doubt proximity plays a part in explaining the contrast between German and U.S. attitudes. Viewed from Wichita or Walla Walla, the plight of those who hand themselves over to human traffickers in hopes of crossing the Mediterranean plays out at a great distance.

Syria is what Neville Chamberlain would have described as a faraway country of which Americans know nothing (and care less). And Iraq and Afghanistan are faraway countries that most Americans have come to regret knowing.

However, To attribute the European  refugee crisis to any single cause would also be misleading. A laundry list has contributed: historical and sectarian divisions within the region; the legacy of European colonialism; the absence of anything even approximating enlightened local leadership able to satisfy the aspirations of people tired of corruption, economic stagnation, and authoritarian rule; the appeal — inexplicable to Westerners — of violent Islamic radicalism. All play a role.

Such attitudes may be understandable. They are also unconscionable.

Yet when it comes to why this fragile structure collapsed just now we can point to a single explanation — the cascading after-effects of a decision made by Bush during the spring of 2002 to embrace a doctrine of preventative war.

The previous autumn, U.S. forces toppled the government of Afghanistan, punishing the Taliban for giving sanctuary to those who plotted the 9/11 attacks. Bush effectively abandoned Afghanistan to its fate and set out to topple another regime, one that had no involvement whatsoever in 9/11.

For Bush, going after Saddam Hussein’s Iraq formed part of a larger strategy. He and his lieutenants fancied that destroying the old order in the greater Middle East would position the U.S. to create a more amenable new order. Back in 1991, after a previous Iraq encounter, Bush’s father had glimpsed a “new world order.” Now a decade later, the son set out to transform the father’s vision into reality.

The administration called this its Freedom Agenda, which would begin in Iraq but find further application throughout the greater Middle East. Coercion rather than persuasion held the key to its implementation, its plausibility resting on unstoppable military power. For Bush’s inner circle, including Dick Cheney, Condoleezza Rice, Donald Rumsfeld and Paul Wolfowitz (but not Powell), victory was foreordained.

They miscalculated. The unsettled (but largely ignored) condition of Afghanistan after the fall of the Taliban already hinted at the extent of that miscalculation. The chaos that descended upon Iraq as a direct result of the U.S. invasion affirmed it. The Freedom Agenda made it as far as Baghdad and there it died.

That Saddam was a brutal tyrant is a given. We need not mourn his departure. Yet while he ruled he at least kept a lid on things. Bush blew off that lid, naively expecting liberal democracy or at least deference to American authority to emerge. Instead, “liberating” Iraq produced conditions conducive to the violent radicalism today threatening to envelop the region.

So rather than cluck over the reluctance of Greeks, Serbs, Hungarians and others to open their borders to those fleeing from the mess the U.S. played such a large part in creating, Americans would do better to engage in acts of contrition.

The US, even under the leadership of Donald Trump, should at least understand that it is never too late to say they are sorry for creating this total mess in the Middle East and Afghanistan, which saddled the EU and Turkey up with millions of refugees, and indirectly, as a result, also created ISIS.

As to the EU,  it is never too late to recognize, they finally must get off the lap of Uncle Sam, develop their own independent foreign policy, and stop being part of disastrous US military  adventures.

EU-Digest