EU-US Trade War: A flood of new data from the US and eurozone suggests recession risks are flashing red. Here's a full rundown of the wreckage - by Ben Winck

Key economic metrics are flashing red for the US and the European Union as tensions between the two reach new highs.

The latest readings from prominent purchasing managers' indexes show manufacturing sectors the US and EU struggling amid global trade conflict and slowing economies. Service and non-manufacturing industries also slowed through September in both areas.

The negative signs arrive after the WTO granted the US permission to levy $7.5 billion in tariffs on EU imports, specifically targeting Boeing competitor Airbus.

Further escalation of trade conflict between the bloc and the US could plunge the two economies into deeper economic woes.

Read more at: A flood of new data from the US and eurozone suggests recession risks are flashing red. Here's a full rundown of the wreckage. | Markets Insider

Israel Elections, key candidates as Nethanyahu battles for his political life

Israel election: Who are the key candidates?

Read more at: 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-47572296

Health: When Will I Die? Scientists Develop New Blood Test That Could Reveal Life Expectancy - by Khasmira Gander

Life is short, the saying goes, and exactly how much time we have before we shuffle off this mortal coil is anyone’s guess. But this uncertainty could be consigned to history, according to the creators of a blood test they claim can predict a person's life expectancy.

The test measures what the scientists at Yale University call a person’s “phenotypic age,” The Guardian reported. Put simply, if a person’s phenotypic age is higher than their chronological age, they may be at greater risk of dying. It works by measuring nine biomarkers in the body, the authors wrote in a paper published in the biological sciences archive bioRxiv. The paper was not peer-reviewed.

Dr. Morgan Levine, assistant professor of pathology at Yale School of Medicine, explained to The Guardian the test can identify differences in life expectancy among individuals who are seemingly healthy.

The team defined "healthy" as being free of disease and having a normal BMI.

"It’s [the test] picking up how old you look physiologically," Levine told the newspaper. "Maybe you’re 65 years old but physiologically you look more like a 70-year-old, so your mortality risk is more like that of a 70-year-old.”

A clinician could therefore use the results as the basis for personalized lifestyle advice on how to prevent diseases and raise a patient's life expectancy, she said.

To develop the test, the researchers analyzed 42 clinical measures documented in participants of the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Factors such as their lifestyle and medical history were recorded, as well as a cause of death where relevant. The measures included glucose levels, white blood cell count and levels of albumin, a protein made by the liver. 

“Phenotypic age was significantly associated with all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality,” the authors wrote.

Every year a person’s phenotypic age was above their real age, their risk of dying rose by 14 percent in those between 20 to 39 years old; 10 percent in the 40- to 65-year-old category, and 8 percent among 65 to 84 year olds. Overall, people who aged fastest had more diseases than those who aged at a slower pace.

The test can also differentiate among individuals who appear to be healthy, and “who may have otherwise been missed using traditional health assessments,” the authors wrote.

It is unclear if and when the test will be rolled out in the general population. Yale University did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Levine told The Guardian the team hopes the test will help "the majority of the population who are middle-aged, who don't have things wrong with them."

Read more: When Will I Die? Scientists Develop New Blood Test That Could Reveal Life Expectancy

US Presidential election: five scenarios that could play out - by Tom McCarthy

With less than 24 hours before election day, Tom McCarthy predicts and considers five possible results – each named after an imaginary electoral cocktail.

Read the complete McCarthy report click here: US election: five scenarios that could play out | US news | The Guardian

Where will the next major war start: STRATFOR founder George Friedman gave us some jarring predictions for the future - by Daniel McDonald

In this day and age it’s relatively unusual for nations to go to war against one another.  Do you see that changing? Do you see interstate warfare making a comeback?
 
GF: From 1815 to 1871 there was not an interstate war of any substance in Europe. Then came World War I, a biggie.

I’ll give you another statistic. There has never been a century that has not had a systemic war — a systemic war, meaning when the entire system convulses. From the Seven Years’ War in Europe to the Napoleonic Wars of the 19th century to the World Wars, every century has one.

Do you want to bet this will be the only century that doesn’t have one? I’ll take that bet …

When you have the countries like Germany, China, and Russia decline, and be replaced by others, that’s when systemic wars start. That’s when it gets dangerous, because they haven’t yet reached a balance. So Germany united in 1871 and all hell broke loose. Japan rose in the early 20th century, and then you had chaos. So we’re looking at a systemic shift. Be ready for war.

BI: Any predictions on where it could be?
GF: Well the most likely emerging countries are Japan, Turkey, and Poland. So I would say Eastern Europe, the Middle East and a maritime war by Japan with the United States enjoying its own pleasures.

But every time new powers emerge they have to find their balance. New powers are emerging, old powers are declining. It’s not that process that’s dangerous, it’s the emerging position that’s dangerous.

Read complete report: STRATFOR founder George Friedman gave us some jarring predictions for the future | New York News

France: French minister predicts ‘full employment’ by 2025 - byTonyTodd

Ahead of the new parliamentary term, French Ministers made predictions on how France will have evolved by 2025. The country will have no unemployment, little debt, housing for everyone and an industry that will be the envy of the world, they hope.

France’s ministers were set a summer holiday homework assignment by President François Hollande: “What is your vision of France in 2025?”

Ministers will hand in their homework on Monday when the government reconvenes in Paris to prepare for the new term with a seminar on France’s future.

Weekly French magazine Le Point has seen five of these broadly optimistic ministerial essays, handed in early by Hollande’s keenest pupils.

Read more: French minister predicts ‘full employment’ by 2025 - FRANCE - FRANCE

Russia's Golden Age to start in 2013, Russian Nostradamus said - by Svetlana Smetanina

The end of 2012 marks the end of the Iron Age and the beginning of the Golden Age in Russia. This was predicted more than a hundred years ago by tsarist general and ethnographer Valentin Moshkov.

Practically all of his gloomy predictions about the Iron Age have come true. Time will show whether his positive predictions are going to come true or not.

A remarkable book was published in the beginning of the last century, in Warsaw - "A New Theory of the Origin of Man and His Degeneration, Based on the Data from Zoology, Geology, Archeology, Anthropology, Ethnology, History and Statistics." The author of the book, Valentin Moshkov, was a unique person in his own way.

According to Moshkov's theory, the history of nations develops in a cycle of 400 years. Every age in this cycle has its own name: gold, silver, copper, iron. The first 200 years of the cycle is a period of development and rise. The state grows, the people prosper. The next 200 years is a period of decline. 

Every age, regardless of the name, also has its periods. The first 50 years - the decline, the second - the rise. But there is no rise in the Iron Age, which can be seen from the name of it.

the author predicts a constant rise in the price of all essential goods, especially food, the collapse of the financial system and growing debts of the population. He wrote that industrial and commercial facilities would stop their activities and go bankrupt before they were handed over to the hands of foreign owners

.

Meanwhile, people would be dying of hunger and diseases, which would lead to massive rebellions. "Hungry peasants, driven to despair neither by the government, as we now think, nor by certain people, but by the fatal process of degeneration, will seek alleged perpetrators of their misfortune and will find them in the government, wealthy classes and the Jews in the western region," the visionary warned.

Read more: Russia's Golden Age to start in 2013, Russian Nostradamus said - English pravda.ru