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Showing posts with label Political. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Political. Show all posts

1/13/23

Russia: Power struggle in the Russian military, and maybe even beyond the military?

Sergey Surovikin has been removed as head of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine and replaced by Valery Gerasimov. Is there a power struggle raging in Moscow?

General Sergey Surovikin was commander-in-chief of the "special military operation," as Russia still officially calls its war of aggression against Ukraine, for just three months. On Thursday, Russian Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu demoted him to Deputy Commander. He will now answer to Russia's Chief of the General Staff, General Valery Gerasimov, who will take over the leadership of Russia's military in Ukraine — nominally, at least.

This is not the first restructuring of the Russian chain of command since the start of the invasion, but the timing is surprising, as Russia is making small military advances for the first time in months. Military experts are divided over the reasoning behind it. They say that Surovikin has not actually committed any blunders during his time as Commander-in-Chief in Ukraine. He is also said to be reasonably popular with the troops, and to be on good terms with political hardliners. So why has he been replaced?

Read more at: https://www.dw.com

11/27/21

‘USA: A core threat to our democracy’: threat of political violence growing across US - by Joan E Greve

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez stood on the House floor and implored her colleagues to hold Paul Gosar accountable for sharing an altered anime video showing him killing her and attacking Joe Biden.

“Our work here matters. Our example matters. There is meaning in our service,” Ocasio-Cortez said in her speech last week. “And as leaders in this country, when we incite violence with depictions

Read more: ‘A core threat to our democracy’: threat of political violence growing across US | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | The Guardian

11/7/21

EU: Is Germany - tuning left ?

German election: Could there soon be a left-wing government?

German parties are often referred to by their colors, where red stands for left-leaning, green for environmentalists, and black for conservatives. So could a "red-red-green" coalition come to pass at the federal level? Angela Merkel, who is not running for reelection, has warned against this: "With me as chancellor, there could never be a coalition involving the Left," she stated in parliament in early September. "And whether this is shared by Olaf Scholz or not, that remains open."

Read more at: https://www.dw.com/en/german-election-could-there-soon-be-a-left-wing-government/a-59073355

11/4/21

USA: Why the US still hasn't had a woman president

Estonia, Singapore, Ethiopia and Finland – these are some of the 21 countries currently governed by a female president or prime minister.

Yet a woman president of the U.S. still remains only a hypothetical.

The 2020 Democratic nomination contest originally featured six women candidates, a record number. But the most prominent female candidates for the Democratic nomination – Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar – have all dropped out, and the focus of the race has narrowed to two males.

My research examines what countries where women run the government have in common – and why the U.S. still lags behind.

Read more at: Why the US still hasn't had a woman president

4/11/21

USA: How Putin or Xi Could Blow It All Up for Biden

Joe Biden is on a roll. His approval rating is higher than his predecessor’s ever was. Almost three-quarters of Americans think he’s doing a good job handling the COVID pandemic. Sixty percent approve of his handling of the economy.

So now is the time for him to start looking at what could go wrong, and turning his attention past our borders. It’s no coincidence that the one area where Biden’s ratings lag is at our southern border, where his efforts to fix the problems his predecessor exacerbated have hit problem after problem, all of them magnified by the knowledge of desperate immigrants that Donald Trump is gone.

Read more at: How Putin or Xi Could Blow It All Up for Biden

6/8/20

NATO's Jens Stoltenberg has a wet dream : "NATO must become more political and global", says alliance chief Jens Stoltenberg

NATO needs to become politically stronger in order to face the challenges of the next decade, the head of the alliance said on Monday, highlighting that the rise of China is "fundamentally shifting the global balance of power".

Note EU-Digest: Yes indeed this is a wet dream, specially given the derogatory comments  President Trump of the US has made about European members of the NATO

Read more at:
NATO must become more political and global, says alliance chief Jens Stoltenberg | Euronews

9/4/18

Turkey: Erdogan has limited options to save (himself) and Turkey from the financial crisis - by Samia Nakhoul, Dominic Evans

Purge them all, including the economy
After 15 years in power as prime minister and president, Tayyip Erdogan faced down a weak opposition in June elections that swept away any checks and balances to the unchallenged rule he wanted. In Turkey he appears lord of all he surveys.

But his victory could become a poisoned chalice if he cannot resolve an angry feud with President Donald Trump that is pushing his country towards financial crisis.

Erdogan has limited options. Most involve a loss of face or a loss of sovereignty for which he alone would be blamed, having successfully marginalized not just a divided opposition but his own Justice and Development Party (AKP).

His victories in June were decisive. Re-elected as president under a new order modeled more on Vladimir Putin’s Russia than France or the United States, he also secured a parliamentary majority by allying with far-right nationalists.

The role of prime minister was abolished, leaving Erdogan to dominate not just the executive - appointing ministers, chairing the cabinet and replacing top civil servants with political appointees – but also holding sway over the judiciary and the legislature.

Having chosen to rule alone from his vast neo-Ottoman palace in Ankara, he confronts the spiraling crisis alone.

The lira has collapsed by 40 percent this year. Turkish banks that borrowed heavily abroad now face the near impossible task of refinancing short-term debt in expensive dollars and euros.

Bottom-line : the party could be over for President Erdogan very quickly, even violently, once the vast majority of his followers personally start feeling the economic pinch in their own pocket-books, which is now starting to happen at a rapid pace.

Read more: Erdogan has limited options to save Turkey from financial crisis | Reuters

8/1/18

Social Media - Fake News: Facebook says it found new covert campaign to spread divisive political messages

On Tuesday morning, the political and tech worlds were startled to learn that Facebook had identified and stopped a new covert campaign to spread divisive political messages on its platform, the first such announcement since 2017.

But Facebook released only some of the pages and content publicly. What it did not reveal was the depth some of the pages went to stoke racial tension and incite division among Americans.

NBC News was able to retrieve some of the pages Facebook deleted via a web archive search, which allows people to see internet pages that have been deleted.

A review of some of the deleted pages from groups identified by Facebook as part of the “inauthentic coordinated behavior” found efforts to target people based on liberal politics as well as Hispanic and African heritage.

One deleted post called for protesters to occupy the headquarters of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency.

Posted by a group called “Resisters,” an event that was initially titled “Stop Ripping Families Apart! DC,” was later retitled “Stop Ripping Families Apart! Take over ICE HQ” after Facebook users said they would attend. A total of 131 people later marked themselves as having attended the June 27 rally outside of ICE’s Washington offices.

Read more: Facebook says it found new covert campaign to spread divisive political messages

7/27/18

Venezuela: crumbling as its fleeing Citizens become the new underclass

As Venezuela crumbles, its fleeing citizens are becoming Latin America’s new underclass

 Read more at;
http://flip.it/A7TZyK

12/27/16

EU Forecast 2017; Three trends that will continue hurting the eurozone in 2017 – by Ilaria Maselli

In a referendum earlier this month, Italian voters dealt a knockout blow to their prime minister’s proposed reform agenda. He declared his resignation that very night.

Disdain for the current crop of politicians extends throughout Europe, with uncertainty surrounding the 2017 elections in the Netherland (March), France (May), and Germany (September.

On top of all of this comes the start of the Brexit negotiation, presumably in March. How will Theresa May manage to ensure that companies but not people retain the freedom of movement? For the rest of the EU, more than an economic challenge, the negotiation poses an existential challenge: does the eurozone need more or less integration to fix its economy and address the uncertainty? And if the answer is “more” what are the policies needed? Eurobonds? A common unemployment insurance scheme? More redistribution across regions?

This lack of confidence almost always puts the brakes on economic growth, since it pushes companies to postpone hiring and delay investment decisions. Moreover, recent research reveals that the most productive companies – those that have the most to lose from taking risks – demonstrate the strongest wait-and-see attitude. A protracted state of uncertainty can therefore permanently affect the productivity, innovation and growth performance of even the best companies.

Read more; Three trends that will continue hurting the eurozone in 2017 – EurActiv.com

7/1/16

Britain "The Mouse That Wants To Roar But Can't" As It Descends Into Political And Economic Chaos after Brexit vote

Britain: "Stepping into the deep"
The only certainty is uncertainty: political and economic upheaval continues after the UK’s vote to leave the European Union.

On Monday, chancellor George Osborne sought to calm the markets, saying the Conservatives had “prepared for whatever the future held”. But Osborne did not reverse his prediction that Britain’s exit would plunge the country into recession and cost thousands of jobs. Meanwhile, the pound dropped to a 31-year-low against the dollar.

As the country -- and the continent eyeing it warily across the Channel -- attempted to come to grips with the fallout of last week's vote to leave the European Union, its political parties imploded in a frenzy of backstabbing and internecine struggle.

It's intrigue and skulduggery that puts the current feuding across the pond, where Donald Trump is now rounding on GOP rivals who have so far refused to back him, in the shade.

First, there was the no-confidence vote against Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn, whose lackluster support of the Remain campaign infuriated many of his fellow colleagues in the opposition. Corbyn's decision to fight for his post -- backed by much of Labour's more leftist rank-and-file -- has triggered "what will likely be an ugly and protracted war for the party’s soul," writes The Washington Post's Griff Witte.

Uncertainty following Britain’s decision to leave the European Union will be sufficient to push its economy into recession by the turn of the year, according to research by analyst Davy. 

Following the result, the outlook for the UK economy has “deteriorated sharply”, according to the report, which said UK GDP would grow by just 1.2 per cent in 2016 and 0.2 per cent in 2017.

“We believe the uncertainty will be sufficient to push the UK into a recession through the turn of the year 2016/2017 based on a 10 per cent peak-to-trough contraction in business investment by early 2017,” it said.

Davy is forecasting a 2.1 per cent rise in consumer spending in 2016, slowing to a marginal 0.1 per cent gain in 2017.

“We expect investment to contract by 1.5 per cent in 2016 and 3 per cent in 2017,” said the report. “We now expect UK employment to grow by just 1.1 per cent and 0.1 per cent in 2016 and 2017 respectively – so that productivity growth is flat and companies limit their firing of employees.

“This means the unemployment rate rises from an average of 5.2 per cent in 2016 to 6.5 per cent in 2017.

Whatever positive coloring the financial markets are trying to give to the fallout of Brexit, the bottom-line in describing the future of the "British Mouse that roared" must include two words: disaster and meltdown.

Other EU members trying to follow Britain's "jump into an uncertain future" better start reading the Tea leaves.

EU-Digest  

5/8/12

Greece in chaos, party chief slams ‘barbaric bailout’ - by Michael Babad

After Sunday's elections left the country with no clear outcome, the head of the party that wants to undo the terms of the bailout is now trying to form a coalition government. But it's not clear that will work, which could mean another election. And time is not on the country's side.

"The timeline going forward requires Greece to pass a budget including measures agreed to in its last bailout as a pre-condition for the first review that is supposed to occur by the end of this month," noted Derek Holt and Dov Zigler of Scotia Capital.

"A medium-term fiscal plan is also supposed to be ready by the end of May. All of this is necessary in order to prove that financing is in place for the next year. At present, these timelines are unlikely to be met and especially so if another election is called on a coalition stalemate."

For more: Greece in chaos, party chief slams ‘barbaric bailout’ - The Globe and Mail

5/1/12

Britain's Strategy - by George Friedman

Britain controlled about one-fourth of the Earth's land surface and one-fifth of the world's population in 1939. Fifty years later, its holdings outside the British Isles had become trivial, and it even faced an insurgency in Northern Ireland.

Britain spent the intervening years developing strategies to cope with what poet Rudyard Kipling called its "recessional," or the transient nature of Britain's imperial power. It has spent the last 20 years defining its place not in the world in general but between continental Europe and the United States in particular.

As empires go, Britain resembled Rome rather than Nazi Germany. Though Rome imposed its will, key groups in colonial processions benefitted greatly from the relationship. Rome was thus as much an alliance as it was an empire. Nazi Germany, by contrast, had a purely exploitative relationship with subject countries as a result of war and ideology. Britain understood that its empire could be secured only through Roman-style alliances. Britain also benefited from the Napoleonic Wars' having crippled most European powers. Britain was not under military pressure for most of the century, and was not forced into a singularly exploitative relationship with its empire to support its wars. It thus avoided Hitler's trap.

British strategy at the end of the war was to remain aligned with the United States and try to find a foundation for the United States to underwrite the retention of the empire. But the United States had no interest in this. It saw its primary strategic interest as blocking the Soviet Union in what became known as the Cold War. Washington saw the empire as undermining this effort, both fueling anti-Western sentiment and perpetuating an economic bloc that had ceased to be self-sustaining.

We might call this the "lieutenant strategy." Britain could not be America's equal. However, it could in effect be America's lieutenant, wielding a military force that outstripped in number -- and technical sophistication -- the forces deployed by other European countries. The British maintained a "full-spectrum" military force, smaller than the U.S. military but more capable across the board than militaries of other U.S. allies.

The goal was to accept a subordinate position without being simply another U.S. ally. The British used that relationship to extract special concessions and considerations other allies did not receive. They also were able to influence U.S. policy in ways others couldn't. The United States was not motivated to go along merely out of sentiment based on shared history, although that played a part. Rather, like all great powers, the United States wanted to engage in coalition warfare and near warfare along with burden sharing. Britain was prepared to play this role more effectively than other countries, thereby maintaining a global influence based on its ability to prompt the use of U.S. forces in its interest.

Britain has positioned itself superbly for a strategy of waiting, watching and retaining options regardless of what happens. If the European Union fails and the European nation-states re-emerge as primary institutions, Britain will be in a position to exploit the fragmentation of Europe to its own economic and political advantage and have the United States available to support its strategy. If the United States stumbles and Europe emerges more prominent, Britain can modulate its relationship with Europe at will and serve as the Europeans' interface with a weakened United States. If both Europe and the United States weaken, Britain is in a position to chart whatever independent course it must.

7/27/11

Sales season in Europe - Jonas Parello-Plesner

The summer sales are on in Europe and buyers are desperately needed. Portugal is crying out for investors in its debt, now ‘junk' in the markets' eyes, while Greece is about to begin a fire-sale of assets.
No chequebook is bigger than China's. And while other investors have been steering clear of troubled eurozone states, China has been on a shopping spree.

So are the Chinese now eyeing up the Acropolis? Could an influx of Chinese investment yet avert meltdown in Europe? And when the financial dust has settled, will the EU discover that it has sold off its chances of a serious political partnership with Beijing? 

Europe's crisis is becoming China's opportunity, and while this might be good news for indebted countries, it heralds the beginning of a fundamentally different financial – and potentially political – relationship between China and Europe.

For more: Sales season in Europe | European Voice

9/8/10

'Europe Needs a Directly Elected Leader with Charisma'

SPIEGEL ONLINE - News - International

"The World from Berlin
'Europe Needs a Directly Elected Leader with Charisma'

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso came out with plenty of fine words during his 'state of the union' speech on Tuesday. But his blandness is unlikely to increase support for the EU among Europeans, say observers. German commentators are unimpressed."

8/30/10

An EU political union without a…Treaty - by Dennis Kefalakos

Towards the end of May 2010 the European Parliament held the Global Jean Monnet – ECSA World Conference with general theme, “The European Union after the Treaty of Lisbon”. On the second day of the conference the morning session was devoted to an issue under the title, “The EU as an international political and security actor.”

In any case the EU tries to convince the world that Eurozone state budgets will soon be sound and the Union will see to that. This means that state budgets will be approved first by the EU Commission and then be introduced to national parliaments. There in nothing more explicit than this, to signal an actual political…union where it counts, the economy, a development nobody wanted to hear of two years ago.

For more: An EU political union without a…Treaty - New Europe

8/2/09

Newsweek: Europe Defies The Skeptics: Why Europe Is Stronger Than Ever - By Andrew Moravcsik


For the complete report from Newsweek.com click on this link

Europe Defies The Skeptics: Why Europe Is Stronger Than Ever - By Andrew Moravcsik

Just six months ago, the media were rife with predictions about the collapse of the European Union and its currency in the wake of the economic crisis. Credit agencies issued downgrades or downgrade warnings for countries like Spain, Portugal, Ireland, and Greece. Even more serious debt crises were expected in Central and Eastern Europe.

Today, it's clear that the crisis has renewed European solidarity and seriousness of purpose. Europe is stronger than ever. What explains the quiet turnaround? The leading nations of Europe did not lose their nerve, and they did not work only to protect themselves, as many pundits predicted. Instead, they rushed to save their neighbors. In monetary policy, small nations realized that they lack the capacity to act as a credible lender of last resort for domestic banking systems that conduct many of their transactions in foreign currencies. Large nations, Germany in particular, realized that their banks, investors, and exporters would take a catastrophic hit if smaller neighbors went belly up. So the European Central Bank responded by pouring money into euro-zone banking systems. The Stability and Growth Pact, which restricts public spending, was relaxed to permit governments to recapitalize their banks. And in an unheralded and entirely informal expansion of EU responsibility, perhaps the largest since the 1999 launch of the euro, the central bank accepted responsibility for stabilizing EU countries outside the euro zone—those that still use their own currencies. It extended guarantees and swaps to assist efforts to stabilize financial systems that otherwise might have been forced to impose a punishing interest-rate hike or devaluation. The most striking example was the bailout of Latvia, managed jointly by the IMF and the EU. The turnaround in trade is no less spectacular. In March, European leaders made a collective commitment to avoid further protectionist measures, and they stuck to it. The core of Europe's single market—a ban on tariffs, quotas, and subsidies, protected by the Schengen Agreement prohibiting border controls and competition policy—seems to be holding firm.

Note EU-Digest: Unity is the only way forward for our EU. As the saying goes: "United we stand, divided we fall".

7/13/09

Georgia Times: Opposition to invigorate their protest

For the complete report from the GeorgiaTimes.info click on this link

Opposition to invigorate their protest

Georgian opposition which has been holding large-scale ralliesin favor President Mikheil Saakashvili's resignation since April 9 announces plans to widen their protests and move to periphery. This was recently stated by Movement For United Georgia leader Eka Beselia at a public meeting near the parliament, News Georgia reports. The number of protesters had drastically dropped over the last month resulting in the opposition leaders call for reorganization.