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7/7/14

Turkey - "A Disaster In The Making":-Towards a Turkey with President Erdogan

On August 10, 2014, for the first time in modern Turkey’s history, the president will be elected by the public instead of by the parliament. This will bring a new dynamic to politics and significantly alter decision-making processes in the executive bodies.

This will not be the only major change in the Turkish political scene; as the three- term Prime Minister Erdogan officially announced his candidacy for the presidential elections, both the ruling AK Party and the role of the presidency in Turkish political life is likely to undergo a shift.

As one Middle Eastern newspaper wrote: "For most Western countriesTurkey is a hard nut to crack".

"How can you explain Turkey’s facilitation of Kurdish independence in Iraq in light of Turkey’s hundred-year opposition to Kurdish independence?"

What is Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyep Erdogan trying to accomplish here?

Turkey a NATO member has welcomed Hamas to its territory and served as its chief booster to the West since the jiadist sterror group won the Palestinian legislative elections in 2006. Erdogan has played a key role in  getting the EU to view Hamas as a legitimate actor, despite its avowedly genocidal goals.

Similarly, Turkey has sponsored the al-Nusra Front, ISIS’s al-Qaida counterpart and ally in Syria.

Top Turkish officials have in recent weeks come out openly in support for Iraqi Kurdish independence from Baghdad.

Following ISIS’s takeover of Mosul, Huseyin Celik, the spokesman for Erdogan’s ruling AKP party told the Kurdish Rudaw news service, “It has become clear for us that Iraq has practically become divided into three parts.”

Blaming Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki for Iraq’s instability Celik said, “The Kurds of Iraq can decide where to live and under what title they want to live. Turkey does not decide for them.”

To date, most Western analyses of the Erdogan regime’s behavior have come up short because their authors ignore its strategic goal. In this failing, analyses of Turkey are similar to those of its Shi’ite counterpart in Iran. And both regimes’ goals are wished away for the same reason: Western observers can’t identify with them.

Turkey is not on the right track and is in fact a disaster in the making.

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