Advertise On EU-Digest

Annual Advertising Rates

5/5/14

Europe rides the reflation trade - by Simon Nixon

Perhaps the most remarkable financial story this year has been the reflation of the euro-zone periphery. While mainstream economists and commentators have been hyperventilating about the possibility of euro-zone deflation, the market has been quietly pouring money into Southern Europe. 

The stampede began in earnest in January when Bankia SA, a state-owned Spanish lender cobbled together via the merger of seven failed savings banks, successfully issued an unsecured bond. 

Since then, Spanish and Italian 10-year government bond yields have fallen to all-time lows, in Spain's case last week falling below 3% for the first time. Portugal and Greece have regained access to bond markets on sufficiently favorable terms for both to contemplate clean exits from their bailout programs. 

Perhaps most remarkably of all, Greek banks have been able to raise more than EUR6 billion ($8.32 billion) in equity, with a further EUR2.5 billion planned. Last week's EUR2.9 billion rights issue by Eurobank Ergasias attracted EUR7 billion of demand from a broad range of foreign institutional investors, much of it from the U.S. Bankers now talk excitedly of plans for a bond issue a week by Greek companies between now and the summer. None of this was imaginable at the start of the year.

Read more: Europe rides the reflation trade - MarketWatch

No comments: